Publication

Apr 2012

The author of this paper contends that the explosive threat of the Syrian conflict is the growing dichotomy between the situation inside Syria and the relentless efforts by a myriad of external forces to exploit the conflict in pursuit of their regional and global interests. The intense fighting since early 2012 coupled with the vastly improved manipulation of the Jihadists by Iranian intelligence have already enabled the Assad administration to take control over the war in Syria. This means that Damascus once again effectively controls the strategic narrative – but not each region, let alone each incident. Hence, barring a major foreign intervention the Assad administration should be considered over the hump, even though the predominantly Sunni insurrection could continue for months or even years to come.

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Author Yossef Bodansky
Series ISPSW Publications
Issue 186
Publisher Institut für Strategie- Politik- Sicherheits- und Wirtschaftsberatung (ISPSW)
Copyright © 2012 Institut für Strategie- Politik- Sicherheits- und Wirtschaftsberatung (ISPSW)
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