Publication

Sep 2016

Are we likely to see more (and more lethal) inter- and intrastate conflicts over the next 20 years? This text examines seven factors that could determine the frequency or deadliness of future confrontations. (The factors include 1) geopolitical competition; 2) US engagement and capability levels; 3) alliance cohesion and capabilities; 4) peacekeeping support; 5) democratic governance; 6) resource competition; and 7) technological diffusion.) After looking at these variables in detail, the text's author concludes that it’s logical to think that inter- and intrastate wars are more likely to happen, and with larger consequences, than many analysts currently believe.

Download English (PDF, 32 pages, 2.03 MB)
Author Frank G Hoffman
Series FPRI Monographs and Essays
Publisher Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)
Copyright © 2016 Foreign Policy Research Institute
JavaScript has been disabled in your browser