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This Week's Two Security Watch Series
This week, our first Security Watch (SW) series focuses on the misadventures of Russia and the US in Syria; the 1956 Suez Crisis’ “curse” on NATO and the EU; history’s lessons for resolving today’s conflicts; the substantial jihadist threat that exists in the Balkans; and the role of women in the so-called Islamic State. Then, in our second SW series, we look at the growing use of clandestine offensive cyber operations by different nations; the impact of Brexit on the EU’s climate and energy policies; the potential role of (military) police in Swiss border control; the comparative difficulties of retaking Mosul; and the deliberate historical amnesia of five nations.
21 Oct 2016 | Security WatchAccording to Florence Gaub and Julia Lisiecka, the female component of the so-called Islamic State is every bit as dangerous as its male contingent. They may constitute only up to 20% of the group’s Western foreign fighters (estimates range between 550 and 2,500 in total), but they arrive with a radical agenda and the resolve to see action. Oh, they’re also more difficult for law enforcement agencies to profile and they benefit from a “positive security bias.”
21 Oct 2016 | Security WatchThe world’s problems are rarely new. Indeed, there are always precedents that should inform our thinking. In this article, five analysts from the United Kingdom, Burundi, Chile, Turkey, and Venezuela identify the historical lessons we keep forgetting. The expressions of our collective amnesia include elite detachment, imperial folly and more.
21 Oct 2016 | CSS BlogShould Europe’s refugee crisis no longer be in the EU’s “urgent pile”? No, says Susi Dennison, and here are seven reasons why. They include 1) continuing crises in the neighborhood; 2) an increasing proportion of casualties; 3) the changing demographics of those fleeing to Europe, and more.
Sep 2016 | PublicationsThis comprehensive CFR report grapples with a fundamental question: When is organizing regionally a useful, even essential, complement to the ends of global governance—including financial stability, an open trading system, the robust protection of human rights, etc.—and when does it threaten or even undermine the achievement of these goals?
The Carnegie Middle East Center is one of five regional, public policy-focused think tanks established and operated by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The Center specifically concerns itself with political and economic developments within the Arab World, Turkey and Iran.
According to Jean-David Levitte, “We are living in a period of disruptions and discontinuity that is far from ending and is increasingly out of control.” In today’s video, Levitte elaborates on this theme by looking at the role of the so-called Islamic State in the Middle East and Europe, the status of the European Project after Brexit, and the rise of new powers in Asia.