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Jan 2017

  • 26 Jan 2017
    Youssef Mahmoud
    Global Observatory of the IPI
    How can the UN leverage its vast normative and policy potential to move from a culture of reaction towards a culture of prevention and early response? The new UN Secretary-General, António Guterres, believes the answer is a “surge in diplomacy for peace,” which involves partnering with regional organizations; mobilizing those with influence; enhancing the mediation capacity of the UN; and exercising the options laid out in Chapter VI of the UN Charter.
  • 26 Jan 2017
    William T Tow
    Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)
    In this article, William Tow first highlights the strategic challenges the new Trump administration faces in Northeast and Southeast Asia, and in the broader Pacific region. Tow then speculates on whether Trump’s ‘America first’ posture will significantly change the US’ strategy and system of alliances in this part of the world.
  • 25 Jan 2017
    Hamza Meddeb
    European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR)
    So, what can European states do to sustain democratic stability in Tunisia, particularly in the country’s peripheral, politically fraught inland regions? To help sustain the Tunisian public’s faith in their troubled state, Hamza Meddeb recommends that the EU strengthen its bilateral cooperation with the country in key areas (the military, private sector, and civil society, for example) and extend an offer for EEA membership.
  • 25 Jan 2017
    Daniel Urchick
    Small Wars Journal
    The South China Sea has five territorial claimants, hundreds of contested geological features, and two clashing superpowers. Given these divisions, what should we expect to happen in the region over the next 2-3 years? Daniel Urchick believes that tensions in the area will most likely continue to rise, although there is a possibility that a type of “Findlandization” might occur instead.
  • 24 Jan 2017
    Eva Nolle
    Institut für Strategie- Politik- Sicherheits- und Wirtschaftsberatung (ISPSW)
    Might the proliferation of violent and non-violent protests in sub-Saharan Africa lead to an African Spring in 2017? Eva Nolle argues that the region’s opposition movements are indeed undergoing a major paradigm shift and local people are clamoring for more power. Despite these developments, however, it’s unlikely that major protest waves will erupt, dethrone regimes, or necessarily spill-over into neighboring countries.
  • 24 Jan 2017
    Ilana Kricheli, Yotam Rosner, Aviad Mendelboim and Yoram Schweitzer
    Institute for National Security Studies (INSS)
    According to Ilana Kricheli, Yotam Rosner, Aviad Mendelboim and Yoram Schweitzer, 2016 was the deadliest year yet for suicide terrorism. 800 perpetrators killed 5,650 people and injured 9,480 others while carrying out 469 attacks in 28 countries. Unsurprisingly, the so-called Islamic States was either directly or indirectly responsible for 70% of the suicide bombings in the world.
  • 23 Jan 2017
    Elena Atanassova-Cornelis
    Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI)
    Elena Atanassova-Cornelis sees a yin-yang dynamic at play in Northeast Asia. Yes, the region is rife with strategic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions which are being fed by power politics and mutual distrust. And yet, growing economic interdependence and non-traditional security concerns are also driving trilateral cooperation. It’s the latter that the community-minded EU should facilitate, argues our author.
  • 23 Jan 2017
    Richard Connolly, Stephen Aris and Bettina Renz
    Center for Security Studies (CSS)
    The three articles in this issue of the RAD discuss 1) Russia´s recently-approved 2017–19 budget, which ensures defense spending will remain a priority for the country; 2) the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), which Moscow is largely neglecting at this time; and 3) how the Putin regime views the utility of military power as an instrument of foreign policy, particularly after its interventions in Ukraine and Syria.
  • 20 Jan 2017
    Jérémie Gallon and Jeff Lightfoot
    Atlantic Council
    Jérémie Gallon and Jeff Lightfoot believe France has a pivotal role to play in creating a stronger European Union and reinforcing the transatlantic alliance. The reason Paris holds this position, our authors continue, is because its geopolitical power in Europe is unique. It draws on a positive legacy of global leadership, rich diplomatic ties and global military reach, universal aspirations and cultural influence, and economic heft.
  • 20 Jan 2017
    Max Mutschler
    Bonn International Center for Conversion (BICC)
    The Global Militarization Index (GMI) highlights “the relative weight and importance of a country’s military apparatus in relation to its society as a whole.” Of the 152 countries analyzed in 2016, the most militarized ones are, in order, Israel, Singapore, Armenia, Jordan Russia, South Korea, Cyprus, Greece, Azerbaijan and Brunei. Max Mutschler provides the details here.
  • 19 Jan 2017
    Anthony Cordesman
    Harvard International Review (HIR)
    It may not be easy to trace the evolving nature of warfare in the MENA region, but there are worrying trends. Tony Cordesman thinks they include 1) four existing (and uncertain) wars; 2) Iran’s involvement in three major military build-ups and arms races; 3) new forms of North African and Arab-Israeli conflict; 4) the changing role of outside powers, and much more.
  • 19 Jan 2017
    Christopher Young
    Canadian Military Journal (CMJ)
    In this article, Chris Young focuses on the Canadian Army’s recent adoption of the core competencies concept, which highlights “the most important functions or groups of functions that define the basic purpose of the Army of Tomorrow.” After reviewing the history of the concept, Young then takes the measure of the core competency frameworks that have been adopted by the US military and others.
  • 18 Jan 2017
    Stephen Goose and Mary Wareham
    Harvard International Review (HIR)
    Six weapons have been internationally banned thus far – poison gas, biological and chemical weapons, blinding lasers, antipersonnel landmines, and cluster munitions. The latter three prohibitions, explain Stephen Goose and Mary Wareham, are examples of “humanitarian disarmament,” which puts top priority on the welfare of civilians. So what’s next on this movement’s agenda? Killer robots!
  • 18 Jan 2017
    Jean-Hervé Jezequel and Vincent Foucher
    International Crisis Group (ICG)
    Jihadist groups have regrouped in the neglected hinterlands of Africa’s Sahel states and are staging their attacks from these areas. To regain control of outlying districts, argue Jean-Hervé Jezequel and Vincent Foucher, the region’s governments must do more than reestablish their presence in recently recaptured provincial centers.
  • 17 Jan 2017
    Sverre Lodgaard and Leon V Sigal
    Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI)
    The various responses to North Korea’s nuclear and missile provocations have failed to produce results, observe Sverre Lodgaard and Leon Sigal. That’s why it’s time to adopt a new approach that patterns itself after the 2015 Iran nuclear deal. In other words, it’s time to conduct broad-based negotiations that address the cumulative interests of all the parties involved.
 
 
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Fri Mar 31 00:40:11 CEST 2017
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