Publication

This brief presents three scenarios for Afghanistan following the contested presidential election and the ongoing policy review by the Obama administration. Three possible scenarios for Afghanistan's future from worst to best case scenario form the crux of the analysis: from a return to pre-9/11 Taliban rule to a stable and prosperous Afghanistan. The author argues that an Afghanistan at peace with itself and its neighbors is not the ahistorical fantasy some critics make it out to be; until the 1978 Marxist coup Afghanistan was stable for nearly half a century.