Publication

3 Jan 2018

This collection of essays focuses on eleven scenarios that may appear unlikely today, but which could come to pass in the near future. The primary aim of each text is to highlight the EU’s current strengths and weaknesses, specifically in its decision-making processes and crisis management structures. Some of the potential crises include 1) a repeat intervention by Russia in Ukraine; 2) the disintegration of Bosnia-Herzegovina; 3) the so-called Islamic State taking over an enfeebled African state; 4) the toppling of Cameroon’s government; 5) Japan acquiring nuclear weapons; and 6) India and Pakistan stumbling into another armed conflict.

Download English (PDF, 67 pages, 2.68 MB)
Author Florence Gaub, Daniel Fiott, Julia Lisiecka, Zoran Nechev, Annelies Pauwels, Roderick Parkes, Julia Lisiecka, Aleksandra Tor, Alice Vervaeke, Patryk Pawlak, Eva Pejsova, John-Joseph Wilkins, (Editor: Florence Gaub)
Series EUISS Reports
Issue 34
Publisher European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)
Copyright © 2017 EU Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)
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