Publication

This briefing argues that Lebanon has lost its balance and is at risk of new collapse, moving ever closer to explosive Sunni-Shiite polarization with a divided, debilitated Christian community in between. The confrontation focuses on an international tribunal to prosecute those responsible for the murder of the former prime minister Hariri and government composition. The paper urges both Lebanese politicians and outside players to recognize the risks of a zero-sum struggle, and warns of a political divide in the context of heavy outside interference.