Publication

Jan 2018

What should European foreign and security policy decision-makers focus on today to help prepare for, or avoid, events of major consequence that may occur in the mid- to long-term future? To help find out, Florence Gaub et al explore current strategic trends related to emerging challenges, Europe’s neighborhood and beyond to establish twelve possible scenarios set in 2021. The scenarios include 1) the hijacking of a foreign submarine within EU territory; 2) a Turkish-Russian clash in the Caucasus; 3) a US withdrawal from Europe, and more.

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Author Marko Čeperković, Giovanni Faleg, Daniel Fiott, Florence Gaub, Gustav Lindstrom, Roderick Parkes, Annelies Pauwels, Patryk Pawlak, Eva Pejsova, Stanislav Secrieru, Nathalie Van Raemdonck, John-Joseph Wilkins, (Editor: Florence Gaub)
Series EUISS Chaillot Papers
Publisher European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)
Copyright © 2019 EU Institute for Security Studies
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