Publication

This paper presents three scenarios for South Africa’s economic development up to the year 2030. Scenario A, called “A Nation Divided”, reflects a South Africa that steadily gathers speed downhill as factional politics and inconsistent policy open the door to populist policies. Scenario B, called “Bafana Bafana” after the national soccer team, forecasts a continuation of existing policy. Scenario C, called „Mandela Magic", is the story of a country with a clear economic and developmental vision, which it pursues across all sectors of society.