Publication

8 Oct 2018

This paper reflects on the future of the European Union and outlines possible scenarios on what the EU could look like in 2027. It argues that the EU's future will be determined by four major variables: 1) enlargement, 2) economic growth, 3) immigration, and 4) exit(s). Because three of these variables play against integration, the text’s author contends that the EU will definitely demonstrate a tendency towards disintegration within the next 10 years.

Download English (PDF, 37 pages, 591 KB)
Author Antonio Estella
Series Elcano Royal Institute Working Papers
Publisher Elcano Royal Institute of International and Strategic Studies
Copyright © 2018 Elcano Royal Institute of International and Strategic Studies
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