No. 118: The Arctic: Thaw with Conflict Potential

No. 118: The Arctic: Thaw with Conflict Potential

Author(s): Jonas Grätz
Editor(s): Daniel Möckli
Series: CSS Analyses in Security Policy
Issue: 118
Publisher(s): Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich
Publication Year: 2012

The thawing of the Arctic ice shield opens up new possibilities: access to raw materials is eased, and shipping distances may decrease. The meddling of an increasing number of nonregional players in Arctic affairs is resulting in closer cooperation among the Arctic coastal states. The potential for conflict exists mainly where sovereign and exploitation rights cannot be conclusively clarified under existing international law. The risk of a military escalation, however, remains low.

Graphics:

Enlarged view:
Arctic Ocean Navy and Coast Guard Ships
Enlarged view:
Map of the Arctic Ocean
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