European Partnership and the South Caucasus

Framework Condition for a Grand Bargain in 2025?

Author(s): Martin Kremer
Editor(s): Iris Kempe, Matthias Neumann, Robert Orttung, Jeronim Perovic, Lili Di Puppo
Series: Caucasus Analytical Digest (CAD)
Issue: 19
Pages: 15-17
Publisher(s): Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich; Jefferson Institute, Washington D.C.; Heinrich Böll Foundation, Tbilisi; Research Centre for East European Studies, University of Bremen
Publication Year: 2010

The future of the South Caucasus will depend to a large extent on overcoming geopolitical rivalry in the region and establishing working relations among the key external actors with influence in the region. A peaceful transformation of the region requires the successful management of the common neighborhoods between Russia and the EU. In fact, in the future, the EU, much more than the US, will emerge as the main player in region, as its interests are driven not only by immediate strategic, but also by far sighted economic and social considerations. In order to create the conditions which facilitate first and foremost the stability of this troubled region, the EU will need to work towards drawing Russia and the US into a larger European security framework which will necessitate close cooperation with other external players and international organizations.

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