Healing Stalemates: The Role of Ceasefires in Ripening Conflict

Author(s): Valerie Sticher
Journal Title: Ethnopolitics
Publisher(s): Taylor & Francis
Publication Year: 2021

In this Ethnopolitics article CSS' Valerie Sticher provides an analytical framework to systematically assess the impact of ceasefires on conflict ripeness and identify key factors that condition their effects. She suggests that temporal limits to ceasefires in the first two ripeness stages increase the probability that ceasefires contribute to ripening, while in the third stage, it is better that parties agree on an indefinite ceasefire or link it to the progress of negotiations in order to enable movement towards settlement.

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