Publication

This paper analyzes three possible scenarios emerging from North Korea's development of nuclear weapons. The first is the possibility that other countries might feel encouraged to do likewise, since the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has failed to prevent North Korea's WMD program. Second, North Korea could threaten to attack South Korea, or even do so. While the author doesn't perceive these scenarios to be probable, the third one states a major threat: the possibility of North Korea selling WMD to terrorist organizations. The author argues that the best policy to counter this scenario would be to let North Korea have its arsenal with the guarantee that it wont sell any weapons to terrorist organizations, and to demonstrate less concern in the international arena about the threats coming from Pyongyang.