Publication

This paper explores three outcomes that could result from the diplomatic crisis between Qatar and other Arab states, which began in June 2017. These three are 1) the forcible replacement of the Qatari leadership; 2) a peaceful resolution between the disputing parties; and 3) the consolidation of the rift in the region. After contending that the third scenario is the most likely, the authors provide recommendations on what EU nations should do to help defuse the crisis.